Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.059545 0.067488 0.075613 0.084515 0.093964 0.103666 0.114355
2025-08-31 0.044707 0.056040 0.068229 0.082173 0.097553 0.113884 0.132420
2025-09-07 0.036833 0.050259 0.065299 0.083076 0.103229 0.125118 0.150453
2025-09-14 0.031561 0.046474 0.063779 0.084790 0.109127 0.136018 0.167591
2025-09-21 0.028433 0.044713 0.064171 0.088308 0.116735 0.148552 0.186303
2025-09-28 0.024731 0.041766 0.062768 0.089394 0.121264 0.157378 0.200652
2025-10-05 0.024405 0.043034 0.066429 0.096456 0.132726 0.174103 0.223949
2025-10-12 0.020736 0.039478 0.063776 0.095616 0.134650 0.179667 0.234358
2025-10-19 0.018569 0.037740 0.063260 0.097260 0.139424 0.188455 0.248400
2025-10-26 0.016229 0.035503 0.061912 0.097713 0.142643 0.195328 0.260153
2025-11-02 0.014536 0.034038 0.061462 0.099205 0.147050 0.203548 0.273430
2025-11-09 0.012586 0.031954 0.060017 0.099296 0.149636 0.209528 0.284023
2025-11-16 0.009793 0.028247 0.056221 0.096337 0.148546 0.211310 0.289971
2025-11-23 0.007535 0.025075 0.052972 0.093960 0.148106 0.213842 0.296817
2025-11-30 0.006384 0.023720 0.052276 0.094949 0.151893 0.221481 0.309730
2025-12-07 0.005559 0.022856 0.052243 0.096794 0.156746 0.230404 0.324172
2025-12-14 0.005205 0.022913 0.053613 0.100576 0.164105 0.242418 0.342344
2025-12-21 0.004407 0.021858 0.053154 0.101741 0.168021 0.250157 0.355349
2025-12-28 0.004800 0.023589 0.057196 0.109315 0.180369 0.268387 0.381082
2026-01-04 0.003753 0.021728 0.055331 0.108415 0.181532 0.272687 0.389920
2026-01-11 0.003238 0.021051 0.055349 0.110176 0.186184 0.281322 0.404012
2026-01-18 0.002615 0.019916 0.054522 0.110662 0.189109 0.287773 0.415432
2026-01-25 0.002205 0.019267 0.054475 0.112258 0.193498 0.296053 0.429081